Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.608673 1.834192 2.079516 2.366157 2.691860 3.050438 3.475179
2025-10-26 1.243181 1.546186 1.904686 2.359958 2.922717 3.595639 4.461770
2025-11-02 1.043284 1.378280 1.798399 2.363633 3.104213 4.041756 5.319683
2025-11-09 0.882704 1.225568 1.676664 2.313091 3.187813 4.348233 6.006083
2025-11-16 0.781848 1.133438 1.615665 2.324635 3.340313 4.743447 6.831291
2025-11-23 0.707856 1.066691 1.577547 2.356849 3.515495 5.175186 7.736239
2025-11-30 0.634507 0.990742 1.515531 2.343638 3.617407 5.503502 8.512353
2025-12-07 0.564835 0.911592 1.438913 2.297599 3.660754 5.742261 9.166910
2025-12-14 0.501312 0.834589 1.356761 2.232538 3.664595 5.915276 9.726895
2025-12-21 0.454993 0.779975 1.303664 2.206745 3.725169 6.177177 10.444191
2025-12-28 0.434582 0.765804 1.313859 2.284011 3.958505 6.732328 11.684256
2026-01-04 0.399155 0.722299 1.270778 2.266435 4.028804 7.020579 12.494324
2026-01-11 0.376917 0.703216 1.273512 2.339184 4.280902 7.671160 14.051262
2026-01-18 0.343316 0.660777 1.232422 2.332569 4.397025 8.106132 15.289082
2026-01-25 0.315422 0.625382 1.199615 2.336220 4.529763 8.579486 16.638697
2026-02-01 0.283999 0.579460 1.142066 2.286259 4.555003 8.854867 17.639550
2026-02-08 0.263550 0.552701 1.117936 2.297669 4.698159 9.363109 19.135658
2026-02-15 0.247463 0.532869 1.105066 2.329514 4.883743 9.968451 20.880210
2026-02-22 0.228363 0.504567 1.072110 2.316455 4.975752 10.394998 22.300273
2026-03-01 0.208157 0.471614 1.026105 2.270945 4.994719 10.673258 23.435733
2026-03-08 0.188399 0.437435 0.973974 2.206630 4.966379 10.848991 24.366792
2026-03-15 0.173855 0.413355 0.941162 2.181134 5.019589 11.201123 25.713746
2026-03-22 0.168484 0.409793 0.953233 2.257512 5.307269 12.086569 28.332277